Predicting and anticipating risk
During 2019, the establishment continued its mission to provide the most accurate and timely forecasts and give warnings for the safety of property and people.
First of all, in terms of vigilance, 2019 has been an intense year. In close collaboration with the French Ministry of Health and Public Health, the establishment has, for example, drawn up a reference system for switching to heatwave red alert. An action plan has been drawn up for overseas territories to better link vigilance and cyclone warning.
2019 was also marked by major changes in operational digital forecasting chains with the switchover to new versions of models at the beginning of July, enabling an improvement in spatial resolutions over Western Europe of 25% to 33% with a very positive impact on forecasting scores.
Finally, in addition to improving the models, the consolidation of the observation system was continued.